Concordance Plausibility Check for Intervention-Conditioned Human Digital Twins

arXiv:2610.24577 · cs.AI · Submitted 2026-10-17 · Read on arXiv

cs.AI

Submitted: 2026-10-17

Updated: 2026-10-17

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Intervention-conditioned human digital twins predict treatment alternatives that cannot be observed in the same patient.

Terminology

Abstract

Intervention-conditioned human digital twins predict treatment alternatives that cannot be observed in the same patient. Ordinary predictive accuracy therefore cannot establish counterfactual credibility. We propose the Concordance Plausibility Check (CPC), a claim-centered framework combining real-world evidence, qualified simulation and clinical knowledge. CPC matches evidence to the causal claim, audits contradictions and shared dependencies, and reports Pass, Fail or reason-coded Indeterminate.

Related papers