Weak-Form Recovery of Stochastic Generators

arXiv:2603.20904 · stat.ME, math-ph, math.DS, math.MP, nlin.CD, physics.data-an, stat.ML · Submitted 2026-03-21 · Read on arXiv

stat.ME, math-ph, math.DS, math.MP, nlin.CD, physics.data-an, stat.ML

Submitted: 2026-03-21

Updated: 2026-10-18

Comments: 39 pages, 11 figures and 5 tables

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Data-driven discovery of governing equations is well developed for deterministic systems but much less so for stochastic ones.

Terminology

Abstract

Data-driven discovery of governing equations is well developed for deterministic systems but much less so for stochastic ones. We present a sparse-symbolic algorithm that recovers both the drift b(x) and the diffusion a(x) of a stochastic differential equation from a single discretely sampled trajectory. It replaces the time-indexed test functions of weak-form SINDy with state-dependent spatial kernels. Fixed-width time-window weighting induces a persistent endogeneity bias: for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process it erases the drift coefficient entirely, whatever the window shape. Spatial kernels avoid this through a martingale strong-law argument, linked to the estimating-function theory of Bibby and Sorensen. We prove consistency of the drift and diffusion estimators for the Euler-Maruyama coefficients, a T-1/2 central limit theorem for the drift, a finite-step correction that links drift and diffusion estimation, and a correction for additive Gaussian observation noise. The theorems assume ergodicity of the Euler-Maruyama chain, which holds for the OU and multiplicative systems but not for the cubic double well, so the double-well results are empirical. The method is validated on three benchmark SDEs (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck, a double well, and multiplicative diffusion), on eight further systems identified from single trajectories with elastic-net-stabilized sparse regression, and in a support-recovery experiment. Exact support recovery from one trajectory needs a long record (about T 200 on the double well) and is not guaranteed for shorter records or weakly identified systems.

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