CLAPS: Aleatoric-Epistemic Scaling via Last-Layer Laplace for Conformal Regression

arXiv:2512.01384 · cs.LG, stat.ML · Submitted 2025-12-01 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG, stat.ML

Submitted: 2025-12-01

Updated: 2026-10-17

Comments: Published in TMLR. OpenReview: https://openreview.net/forum?id=RvoPfNBjwp

Journal ref: Transactions on Machine Learning Research (2026)

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Epistemic Uncertainty — 2× in this paper · explained in 12 episodes
• Calibration — 1× in this paper · explained in 9 episodes
• Conformal Laplace-Aware Predictive Scaling — 1× in this paper

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