Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure
Listen
Radio episode about this paper
Transcript
Introduction to the show: ident: AI Radio. Generated commentary on the latest Artificial Intelligence papers.
Tom: Today's paper: "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure".
Jane: Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) on multilevel models of arbitrary structure provides a general method for deriving neural network architectures that automatically determine valid posterior factorizations,
Tom: First, who's behind it and why it matters.
Title and authors: Tom: Wow, Jane, I’m seriously hyped about this new paper on "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure." It sounds like they've developed a general framework that can handle multilevel models of any structure, which is huge for complex data.
Jane: I agree, Tom; the authors are showing how to take a generative model and automatically figure out the right way to factorize its posterior so that we don't have to design every single neural network architecture manually. That’s a big deal because designing those architectures from scratch is often incredibly tedious.
Lu: Exactly! The paper suggests using graph expansion and graph inversion to derive an inverse graph that determines how these inference networks are stacked and conditioned, which should give us a systematic way to handle the complexity of these models. This feels like it opens up some really creative possibilities for building new kinds of generative AI structures.
Meng: From an engineering standpoint, that sounds promising because it promises a way to scale inference without getting bogged down in manual architectural design specific to the model type. I wonder if this approach is robust when we move from simple exchangeable observations to more complex scenarios where dependencies aren't so neatly defined.
Lalam: I see a potential culture shift here; if the AI can automatically derive the correct inference structure, it means we spend less time on low-level architectural tuning and more time focusing on the high-level model design itself.
Tom: It really is about that automatic derivation of valid factorizations, which they call graph expansion and graph inversion to find those factorizations that amortize over the number of groups. That means the inference cost doesn't explode as you add more data points across those groups.
Jane: So, in simple terms, they’ve created a way to ensure that even though the posterior size grows with the number of groups, we can approximate it by learning separate factors that get reused across those groups. It tackles the problem of how to approximate a posterior whose dimension is growing with every new group.
Lu: And they go further by analyzing the different factorizations using amortization analysis to select the one that makes the most group-level parameters independently amortizable. That selection process is what gives this method its generality across arbitrary structures.
Title and authors: Meng: I'm thinking about practical impact on our systems; if we can derive these architectures automatically, it means we could deploy inference pipelines for models with vastly different hierarchical scales without needing a whole new engineering team for each one.
Lalam: From my perspective, this advance suggests that the AI systems we build will naturally be more adaptable to novel data structures because the AI itself can understand and optimize the structure of the inference process rather than being constrained by a fixed design.
Tom: And they show how this works in practice by turning that selected inverse graph into a concrete set of approximators, which tells us exactly how nodes share networks and how observations are summarized. That’s a really complete picture they give us.
Jane: It sounds like the methodology is powerful because it handles the structural complexity by first expanding the graph and then intelligently inverting it to find that optimal factorization. It’s a very structured approach to solving a problem that used to require more ad-hoc solutions for different model types.
Lu: One interesting detail they mention is how they handle crossed designs, where no single factorization makes every grouping factor independently amortizable. They address this by using a sequential inference scheme with a permutation-invariant set network to summarize observations of all groups in a single pass.
Meng: That sequential approach sounds like it’s the practical compromise when perfect independent amortization isn't possible, but I have to wonder how much overhead that sequential step actually adds compared to the gains from having a general framework.
Lalam: The fact that they can handle those crossed designs by summarizing all groups in one pass is quite elegant; it suggests a very efficient way to manage the growing number of conditions without losing structure.
Tom: So, we’re talking about a complete methodology that starts with the generative DAG and ends up with a fully specified neural network architecture tailored for high-dimensional hierarchical data. It’s moving inference from being a manual design task to an automatic discovery process.
Jane: That's the core idea; the paper shows that graph expansion and inversion are principled ways to derive factorizations that meet the criteria for amortization, which is key for scaling up our Bayesian models. It simplifies a very complex problem into a series of well-defined graph operations.
Title and authors: Lu: The results they show are quite compelling because their derived approximators closely match results from gold-standard samplers on models with over six thousand five hundred parameters, like Stan. That level of fidelity is what makes this method so interesting for real-world applications.
Meng: If it matches Stan results on models that big, the practical implication is that we could potentially use these faster or more scalable methods for massive datasets where running a full Stan sampler would take prohibitively long.
Lalam: For the culture of this group, this paper reinforces the idea that AI’s strength isn't just in pattern matching but in understanding and optimizing the underlying mathematical structure of a problem itself. It shows that deep structural understanding translates directly into more efficient computational results.
Tom: So, to wrap up this section, we’ve seen how "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure" provides a general method to automatically derive the posterior factorization and neural network architecture from any generative model's DAG.
Jane: And the paper confirms that this approach works well, even with complex structures like crossed designs, by intelligently choosing between independent amortization and sequential inference schemes. It’s a very comprehensive tool for modeling hierarchical data.
Lu: The main thing I’d point out is that the method preserves all conditional independence and exchangeability assumptions of the generative model, which is a major requirement for any faithful inference tool. It keeps those crucial statistical properties intact during the transformation process.
Meng: I do see a limitation they mention; they note that meta-amortized architectures have so far been restricted to exchangeable observations, and that exchangeable parameters are still an open problem. That means we might need further work on how to handle non-exchangeable parameters perfectly in the future.
Lalam: It’s good to hear that they acknowledge where the current boundaries are, which gives us a roadmap for what research needs to focus on next regarding non-exchangeable parameters.
Tom: So, we’ve seen how this paper provides a principled and general route to deriving architectures for multilevel models of arbitrary structure using graph expansion and inversion. It’s a very complete toolkit for the Bayesian community.
Jane: It’s certainly a comprehensive piece of work, showing how abstract graph theory can be directly translated into concrete neural network designs for inference. The practical implication is that we can tackle much larger hierarchical models than before, provided the underlying structure fits their framework.
Title and authors: Lu: I think the most exciting part is how they manage to derive all the necessary components—the factorizations, inference networks, and their stacking—automatically from just a DAG. That level of automation is what sets this work apart.
Meng: It’s certainly powerful when you look at the results they achieved with over six thousand five hundred parameters matching Stan solvers. That comparison gives us a solid benchmark for how much computational efficiency we can expect to gain from this method.
Lalam: For the culture of innovation, this paper suggests that the future of AI architecture design will increasingly rely on deriving structure directly from the problem's generative logic rather than relying on handcrafted solutions. It’s a shift toward structural discovery.
Tom: So, to wrap up this section, we’ve seen how "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure" gives us a general method to automatically derive valid factorizations and neural network architectures from any generative model's DAG.
Jane: And it confirms that this structured approach, through graph expansion and inversion, effectively handles the scaling challenges inherent in multilevel models. It’s a very complete toolkit for handling complex hierarchical data structures.
Lu: The key contribution is moving the focus from choosing a factorization to discovering which factorizations are valid and amortizable within the given model's structure. That’s a fundamental shift in how we approach model building.
Meng: I think we should keep an eye on how they integrate things like compositional score matching or self-consistency losses to improve robustness when the model itself isn't perfectly specified. That’s where real-world deployment will test its limits.
Lalam: It’s encouraging to see this level of formal mathematical rigor applied directly to solving practical, large-scale inference problems in AI. This work helps solidify the connection between theoretical statistics and scalable machine learning architecture design.
Tom: So, as we wrap up this segment on "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure," we’ve discussed its automatic derivation of factorizations from DAGs. It’s a very complete toolkit for tackling the scaling issues in multilevel modeling.
Jane: Indeed, it gives us a very clear path forward for building more scalable Bayesian models by deriving architectures based on the model's inherent structure. We have plenty to chew on as we move into the next part of the paper’s discussion.
The paper's summary: Tom: So we've been looking at how this paper takes the general generative structure of a multilevel model and turns it directly into an AI architecture, and now we're diving into what those authors actually summarized about their main findings.
Jane: Exactly, Tom; they’ve boiled down the entire process of using graph expansion and inversion to automatically figure out the most efficient way to factorize a posterior for any complex hierarchy. Essentially, they're showing us how to build the inference network itself based on the model's underlying mathematical blueprint.
Lu: What really stands out in their summary is that they establish this as a general method, not just for one specific type of multilevel model; it works for arbitrary structures, which means we don't have to re-engineer our entire inference pipeline every time we switch from one hierarchical setup to another.
Meng: From my side, I’m focusing on the idea that they handle crossed designs by using a sequential inference scheme when independent amortization isn't possible; that sounds like a very practical compromise for real-world scenarios where perfect factorization is too hard to find.
Lalam: I think the most significant summary point is how they manage to derive all those necessary components—the factorizations, the specific networks needed for conditioning, and how observations are summarized—all automatically from just the initial directed acyclic graph. That level of automation is what really excites me about this work.
Tom: Right, so it’s not just a statistical trick; they’ve created a systematic pipeline where you start with the model's logic and you end up with a fully defined neural network architecture ready to train, which is pretty impressive.
Jane: They emphasize that this framework preserves all the conditional independence assumptions of the original generative model throughout this entire transformation process, which is a huge win for maintaining statistical integrity during inference.
Lu: And their analysis of amortization helps them select the best factorization out of many possibilities by picking the one that makes parameters independently amortizable, which gives them control over computational cost.
Meng: I wonder how robust this automatic selection holds up when we move to models where we don't know all the parameters ahead of time, because they rely on identifying these factorizations first.
Lalam: That’s exactly why their work is so impactful; it suggests that the AI can learn to optimize its own structure based on the data's generative rules rather than being stuck with a pre-designed architecture. This kind of structural discovery could fundamentally improve how we build complex, scalable Bayesian models in the future.
The paper's improvements: Tom: So we’ve seen how this paper tackles the core problem by using graph expansion and inversion to automatically derive valid factorizations, but now we’re looking at what the authors suggest as ways to make this method even better moving forward.
Jane: They suggest that to keep things robust, especially with models that have some missing information or don't fit perfectly into the exchangeable categories they currently handle, you should combine this method with something like compositional score matching.
Lu: That’s a really interesting direction because it moves the framework beyond just structural derivation into how the model learns and adapts to potentially imperfect likelihood evaluations, which is where things get really creative in terms of AI design.
Meng: From an engineering standpoint, combining it with self-consistency losses seems like a good way to improve robustness when we test this on novel, real-world data distributions that aren't perfectly described by our training set.
Tom: It sounds like they’re not just handing us a static architecture but suggesting dynamic ways to train and validate that architecture so it performs better when the model assumptions slip a little.
Jane: They argue that this combination helps ensure the derived architectures remain effective even when we can't assume perfect model specification, which is a big step toward making these AI tools more reliable in messy, real-world applications.
Lu: If we can integrate those techniques effectively, it opens up a whole new space for AI systems to handle uncertainty and complexity without needing to manually tune every single loss function for every unique hierarchical setup.
Meng: That capability would mean we could deploy these inference engines on much more diverse data streams with less intensive post-training fine-tuning required, which is a big win for operational efficiency.
Tom: So the paper isn't just about the initial derivation; it’s giving us tools to make those derived models smarter and more resilient when they encounter real-world data that isn't perfectly clean.
Jane: Exactly; it moves the conversation from "does this work?" to "how do we make this work reliably under imperfect conditions?", which is a crucial step for any serious deployment of these kinds of AI systems.
Lu: This suggests that the future of these multilevel AI structures isn't just about building them, but about designing their learning objectives so they naturally absorb model misspecification more gracefully.
Meng: I think if we can build systems that learn to compensate for structural flaws through compositional losses, we might actually see a level of generalization in complex hierarchical models that we haven't seen before.
Tom: That’s fascinating; moving from purely structural discovery to learning resilience within the derived structure is a powerful evolution for this kind of research.
Jane: It really shows that AI isn't just about finding the right way to model something, but about building systems that can understand and adapt to the inherent imperfections in any real-world data source.
Conclusion: Tom: So we’ve covered how this paper tackles the core problem by using graph expansion and inversion to automatically derive valid factorizations, and now we're getting to the final thoughts on what this means for everyone.
Jane: It really boils down to this: they’ve given us a systematic way to turn any complex generative model structure into a neural network architecture without needing manual design for every single problem.
Lu: What I find most exciting is the general applicability; it suggests that we can stop designing specific solutions and start deriving solutions directly from the model's mathematical logic, which opens up huge possibilities for novel AI structures.
Meng: From an engineering standpoint, being able to automatically derive these complex factorizations means we could streamline the development of inference pipelines for models with vastly different hierarchical scales much faster.
Lalam: For me, the most impactful vision is that this work could fundamentally change how we build AI systems because it shifts the focus from handcrafted designs to discovering architectures based purely on problem structure, which improves our entire culture of innovation.
Tom: It’s a complete toolkit for anyone working with multilevel models, showing that graph theory can directly translate into concrete, scalable neural network designs.
Jane: They've shown that this approach works well even with complicated structures like crossed designs by intelligently choosing between independent amortization and sequential inference when necessary.
Lu: That ability to handle those structural complexities automatically is what makes this work so powerful for researchers pushing the boundaries of AI modeling.
Meng: I just wonder about the practical side: once you’ve derived this architecture, how much effort does it take to actually train it compared to traditional methods?
Lalam: The impact here is huge because it means we can move toward building AI that is inherently more adaptable and less brittle when facing diverse, real-world data sources.
Tom: It’s clear that "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure" provides a principled route for tackling the scaling issues inherent in hierarchical modeling.
Jane: It’s a very comprehensive piece of work that gives us a solid foundation for building more scalable AI models by deriving architectures based on the model's inherent structure.
Lu: This paper confirms that graph-based derivation is a general and principled way to approach inference, which is incredibly valuable for the theoretical side of AI.
Meng: So, we’re looking at systems that can produce high-fidelity posterior approximations that match gold-standard samplers on models with over six thousand five hundred parameters once they've been trained.
Lalam: This work gives us a concrete path forward for building more sophisticated and scalable generative AI tools across many domains.
Tom: That wraps up our discussion on "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure," showing how we can automatically derive the necessary factorizations from any generative model's DAG.
Jane: Indeed, it confirms that this structured approach, through graph expansion and inversion, effectively handles the scaling challenges inherent in multilevel models.
Lu: The key contribution is moving the focus from choosing a factorization to discovering which factorizations are valid and amortizable within the given model's structure.
Meng: I think we should keep an eye on how they integrate things like compositional score matching or self-consistency losses to improve robustness when the model itself isn't perfectly specified.
Lalam: It’s encouraging to see this level of formal mathematical rigor applied directly to solving practical, large-scale inference problems in AI.
Tom: We’ve seen how this paper provides a general method to automatically derive valid factorizations and neural network architectures from any generative model's DAG.
Jane: And it confirms that this structured approach, through graph expansion and inversion, effectively handles the scaling challenges inherent in multilevel models.
Lu: It’s a very complete toolkit for handling complex hierarchical data structures.
Tom: We’ve seen how "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure" gives us a general method to automatically derive valid factorizations and neural network architectures from any generative model's DAG.
Jane: It’s certainly a comprehensive piece of work that shows how abstract graph theory can be directly translated into concrete neural network designs for inference.
Lu: The main thing I’d point out is that the method preserves all conditional independence and exchangeability assumptions of the generative model, which is a major requirement for any faithful inference tool.
Meng: It’s certainly powerful when you look at the results they achieved with over six thousand five hundred parameters matching Stan solvers, giving us a solid benchmark for how much computational efficiency we can expect to gain from this method.
Lalam: For the culture of innovation, this paper reinforces the idea that AI’s strength isn't just in pattern matching but in understanding and optimizing the underlying mathematical structure of a problem itself.
Tom: So, as we wrap up this segment on "Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure," we’ve seen how it provides a general method to automatically derive valid factorizations and neural network architectures from any generative model's DAG.
Jane: And it confirms that this structured approach, through graph expansion and inversion, effectively handles the scaling challenges inherent in multilevel models.
Daniel Habermann, Andreas Bulling, Stefan T. Radev, Paul-Christian Bürkner
TU Dortmund University · University of Stuttgart
stat.ML, cs.LG, stat.CO
Submitted: 2026-09-30
Updated: 2026-09-30
Importance score: 92/100
The gist: Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) on multilevel models of arbitrary structure provides a general method for deriving neural network architectures that automatically determine valid posterior
Key concepts
- Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI)
- ABI is a general method for deriving neural network architectures from multilevel models. It finds posterior factorizations that are efficient because they reuse computations across many groups rather than recalculating everything independently.
- Graph Expansion
- This step modifies the model's graph by splitting each exchangeable node into two instances. This explicitly makes the relationship between different groups clearer in the graph structure, which is necessary for identifying good factorizations.
- Graph Inversion
- Graph inversion enumerates all valid inverse factorizations of the expanded graph. This process identifies specific ways to structure the model's dependencies so that computations can be ordered efficiently to achieve amortization.
Terminology
Summary
Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) on multilevel models of arbitrary structure provides a general method for deriving neural network architectures that automatically determine valid posterior factorizations, enabling efficient and scalable Bayesian inference across complex hierarchical models.
The gist
Our method derives a complete approximator—including the posterior factorization, required inference networks, and their stacking—automatically from the generative model's directed acyclic graph (DAG) by applying graph expansion and graph inversion to identify factorizations that amortize over the number of groups.
How it works
The core of the method is a four-step transformation of the generative graph into a complete neural network architecture:
-
Graph expansion makes the exchangeability of groups explicit in the graph structure by splitting each exchangeable node into two instances, thereby making
the exchangeability of groups explicit in the graph structure.
-
Graph inversion enumerates all valid inverse factorizations of this expanded graph to identify those that
amortize over the number of groups.
-
Amortization analysis compares these factorizations, selecting the one that makes
the most group-level parameters independently amortizable.
-
Architecture derivation turns the selected inverse graph into a concrete set of approximators: identifying which nodes can share an inference network, how they are conditioned, and how observations are summarized.
Graph Inversion and Factorization
The process relies on graph inversion to determine the inverse factorization,
which is the structure required for amortization. This involves constructing an inverse graph where latent nodes are processed in a fixed order, with parents set to a minimal subset of already added nodes such that, given S, knowing the values of any additional node provides no further information about v.
The choice of ordering determines the resulting factorization; for instance, one ordering might yield a factorization where each λj conditions only on its own group data yj and on the global parameters µ, τ, and ω,
which allows for independent amortization.
Handling Non-Independent Amortization
For models with crossed designs, no single factorization makes every grouping factor independently amortizable. In these cases, the method employs a sequential inference scheme where the chain rule of conditional probability gives p(v1,..., vK c) = Y K k=1 p(vk v1:k−1, ck),
where each factor is a density over a single instance whose dimension does not depend on the number of instances. To manage the growing conditions, a permutation-invariant set network therefore summarizes the observations of all groups, encoded as described in Section 2.6,
ensuring that all K outputs are computed in a single pass.
Summary Networks and Network Architecture
Inference networks receive their conditions from fixed-size summary networks trained jointly with them. These summary networks are crucial because they provide fixed-width conditions
for the inference networks, ensuring that the input size remains constant regardless of the number of groups or observations. The encoding respects hierarchical structures by pooling observations over groups according to whether grouping factors are nested or crossed, allowing each inference network to condition on a representation that is fixed size, regardless of the number of groups and observations.
The final network architecture is directly determined by the selected inverse graph H, which dictates how nodes are sorted into stages based on when their conditions become available.
Case Studies and Results
The method was demonstrated across three case studies: a two-level model of eight schools
data, a three-level model of inter-rater agreement with crossed image and annotator effects, and a four-level negative binomial model for the UK Breeding Bird Survey. In all cases, the derived approximators closely match gold-standard samplers on models with more than 6,500 parameters,
such as Stan. The method successfully reduces inference to a near-instant forward pass once trained,
and it preserves all conditional independence and exchangeability assumptions of the generative model.
Discussion
The paper establishes graph-based derivation as a principled and general route to amortized inference of multilevel models of arbitrary structure.
While amortization over the number of groups typically holds within the range seen during training, combining this method with compositional score matching or self-consistency losses can improve robustness under model misspecification. The results confirm that the derived architectures are effective for large-scale hierarchical Bayesian models.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) Projects 508399956, 528702768, and 569534706. Paul-Christian Bürkner acknowledges support from DFG Collaborative Research Center 391 (Spatio-Temporal Statistics for the Transition of Energy and Transport) – 520388526. Stefan T. Radev was funded by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 2448380.
Improvements for AI systems
Here are specific improvements to AI systems based on this scientific paper, focusing on leveraging its core methodology:
The core contribution of this paper is developing a general method for deriving neural network architectures for Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) on arbitrarily structured multilevel models automatically, while preserving all conditional independence and exchangeability assumptions.
Here are the specific improvements and capabilities these systems can achieve:
-
Inference in High-Dimensional, Hierarchical Data Structures:
-
Handling Models with Arbitrary Structure: The system can automatically derive the correct factorization of a joint posterior from any Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) representation of the generative model, eliminating the need for manual architectural design specific to a model class. This applies to complex nested or crossed designs (e.g., image-annotator effects, regional/square effects) where standard neural approximators fail due to varying input/output dimensions across groups.
-
Amortization Over Large Numbers of Groups: The system is designed to amortize the computational cost over the number of groups and the number of observations within those groups. This allows for scalable inference across millions of independent datasets, a critical feature for real-time applications or large-scale cross-validation scenarios where fitting every group individually is infeasible.
-
Automatic Selection of Optimal Factorization: The method uses graph expansion and inversion to enumerate all valid inverse factorizations and then selects the one that maximizes the number of independently amortizable grouping factors, or falls back to a factorization that minimizes sequential inference steps (autoregressive sampling) in crossed designs. This ensures the most computationally efficient architecture is chosen automatically based on model structure.
-
Scalable Neural Network Architecture Derivation: The system outputs a complete set of required components: which nodes share an inference network, how these networks are stacked and conditioned, and how observations are summarized for each network (using specialized summary networks like DeepSets or SetTransformers tailored to the grouping structure). This results in a single training pipeline that produces specialized architectures optimized for the specific data hierarchy.
-
Robustness to Model Misspecification: The framework can be augmented with techniques like self-consistency losses, allowing the system to improve robustness when trained on simulated data but applied to novel, real-world distributions where perfect likelihood evaluation is not possible.
-
Efficient Training and Sampling: The system utilizes fixed-size summary networks (derived via complex pooling and encoding) that reduce the input dimension of inference networks to a fixed size, regardless of the number of groups or observations. This ensures that inference networks have constant computational complexity during training, leading to faster convergence compared to traditional methods.
-
Gold-Standard Performance: The resulting approximators are demonstrated to closely match results from gold-standard samplers like Stan on models with over 6,500 parameters, achieving near-instantaneous forward passes once trained.
This improved AI system can perform the following specific tasks:
-
Generate a fully specified, ready-to-train neural network architecture for any complex hierarchical Bayesian model defined by a DAG.
-
Perform scalable posterior inference on massive datasets where groups have varying sizes (e.g., millions of individual patient records or sensor readings across different experimental conditions).
-
Rapidly estimate the posterior distributions of all hierarchical parameters (population means, group-level effects, and observation-level variations) in real-time for high-throughput data streams.
-
Automatically handle complex dependencies in crossed designs (e.g., analyzing image segmentation where multiple annotators and different imaging tools are involved) by intelligently deciding whether to pool information or use sequential inference based on the derived inverse graph structure.
-
Provide a complete, end-to-end solution for simulation-based Bayesian inference without requiring prior knowledge of the specific model's likelihood function, relying solely on its generative structure.
Sources
- Simulation-based Inference for Cardiovascular Models
- CogFormer: Learn All Your Models Once
- BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Python
- Bayesian Workflow
- IMA++: ISIC Archive Multi-Annotator Dermoscopic Skin Lesion Segmentation Dataset
- Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibration
Related papers
- Behavior of prediction performance metrics with rare events
- Optimal Estimation of Generic Dynamics by Path-Dependent Neural Jump ODEs
- A Posterior-Dynamics Framework for Imaging Inverse Problems with Pretrained Diffusion Priors
- One Permutation Is All You Need: Fast, Deterministic Feature Importance and Model Stress-Testing
- Online Conformal Prediction for Non-Exchangeable Panel Data
- Deep Time-Series Forecasting in 10 Years: A Survey