1I/'Oumuamua-like objects's SFDs with older, current and future surveys

arXiv:2609.25488 · astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.GA, astro-ph.IM · Submitted 2026-09-21 · Read on arXiv

astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.GA, astro-ph.IM

Submitted: 2026-09-21

Updated: 2026-09-21

Comments: 8 pages, 5 figures. Submitted to A&A

Code: https://github.com/rhiannonlynnehttps:/minorplanetcenter.net

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/

The gist: Interstellar Objects (ISOs) may provide direct evidence of planetesimals ejected from early-stage solar systems.

Terminology

Abstract

Interstellar Objects (ISOs) may provide direct evidence of planetesimals ejected from early-stage solar systems. Studying these objects and predicting their detection through various surveys is vital for enhancing our understanding of planetary formation. We show how ISO size distribution (SFD), f D D-q, controls expected detections in current and future surveys. We focus on TESS and the Vera Rubin Observatory LSST while analyzing Pan-STARRS and ATLAS. TESS is expected to detect 1 ISO from shallow SFDs (q<2.5). On the other hand, LSST is likely to detect 0.2-100 ISO yr-1 over its lifetime. ATLAS is likely to detect one non-cometary object for populations with q<3. We further estimate 0-8 detections of cometary like-3I/ATLAS objects by LSST in 10 years and 1 cometary object detected by TESS over its mission time, independent of the nucleus size distribution. By considering both 1I/'Oumuamua and 3I/ATLAS from the same SFD, our results suggest that more asteroid-like objects are produced rather than comets during the early stages of planetary formation. Imminent detections of ISOs by LSST will help constrain the slopes of the SFDs for asteroid-like and cometary ISOs better, and, if applicable, differentiate between them.

Sources

Related papers