The Operational Value of Spatial Dependence in Renewable Forecast Scenarios for Single-Period Economic Dispatch: A Controlled Ablation Study

arXiv:2609.23988 · eess.SY, cs.LG, cs.SY · Submitted 2026-09-21 · Read on arXiv

eess.SY, cs.LG, cs.SY

Submitted: 2026-09-21

Updated: 2026-09-21

Comments: This work has been submitted to the IEEE for possible publication. Copyright may be transferred without notice, after which this version may no longer be accessible. 10 pages, 3 figures, 2 tables

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Accuracy — 33× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Copula — 27× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Ablation — 24× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Robustness — 3× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Ablation study — 2× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Generative Model — 2× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Probabilistic Forecasting — 2× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Benchmark — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Calibration — 1× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Combinatorial Optimization — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Core — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Electric Power Research Institute — 1× in this paper
• Generalization — 1× in this paper · explained in 13 episodes
• Temporal Correlations — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Verification — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes

Sources

• Toward Value-oriented Renewable Energy Forecasting: An Iterative Learning Approach
• Value-oriented forecast reconciliation for renewables in electricity markets
• Decision-Focused Forecasting: A Differentiable Multistage Optimisation Architecture
• Forecast Skill Is Not Decision Skill: Evidence from Weather-Dependent Decision Tasks
• Economic Dispatch Considering Spatial and Temporal Correlations of Multiple Renewable Power Plants
• Open Power System Data - Frictionless data for electricity system modelling
• Decision-Focused Scenario Generation and Selection for Efficient and Robust Grid Dispatch
• OptNet: Differentiable Optimization as a Layer in Neural Networks

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