The Price of Self-Calibration: Exact Evidence Budgets and Manufactured Blind Sets in Adaptive Monitoring

arXiv:2609.23254 · cs.LG, cs.SY, eess.SY, math.PR, stat.ME · Submitted 2026-09-19 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG, cs.SY, eess.SY, math.PR, stat.ME

Submitted: 2026-09-19

Updated: 2026-09-19

Comments: 15 pages, 3 figures, 3 tables

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Calibration — 2× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Adaptive Monitoring — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode

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