Distributed JEPA: A Self-Supervised Framework for Energy Forecasting

arXiv:2609.17029 · cs.LG, cs.AI · Submitted 2026-09-15 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG, cs.AI

Submitted: 2026-09-15

Updated: 2026-09-15

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Traditional energy forecasting solutions rely on task-specific supervision and energy asset representations, limiting transferability and the ability to capture general temporal dynamics across

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Abstract

Traditional energy forecasting solutions rely on task-specific supervision and energy asset representations, limiting transferability and the ability to capture general temporal dynamics across heterogeneous assets. We address this by proposing a distributed Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) for self-supervised learning from heterogeneous energy time-series. The framework predicts latent representations of masked temporal segments while integrating temporal observations and contextual information within a shared embedding space. To prevent representation collapse, training combines a latent-space predictive objective with covariance and temporal variance regularization. The evaluation was conducted on energy consumption and generation datasets under data-degradation scenarios and compared with a Transformer forecasting baseline. The learned representations remained stable (cosine similarity about 0.98; effective rank 185-235). JEPA achieved performance comparable to a Transformer on building energy data, higher R squared in 3/5 consumer clusters, and outperformed the baseline on 9/10 unseen PVs (R squared =0.73-0.88 vs. <0.45), while showing greater robustness to missing data.

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