Rescuing Kepler's False Positives: A Possible Habitable Zone Exoplanet in the Triple Star System KOI-1623
astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.SR
Submitted: 2026-09-14
Updated: 2026-09-14
Comments: 20 pages, 13 figures, 4 tables. Accepted for publication in AJ
Code: https://github.com/mikeireland/idlnrm
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: The Kepler mission has significantly advanced our understanding of exoplanet demographics.
Terminology
Abstract
The Kepler mission has significantly advanced our understanding of exoplanet demographics. However, Kepler planet candidates showing centroid shifts are often classified as false-positives and thus excluded from demographic analyses. Some of these systems may be erroneous false positives, resulting from unresolved binary stars with planets orbiting one of the stars, thereby introducing biases into past exoplanet demographic studies. Here, we present updated Kepler centroid offset values derived from Gaia Data Release 3 (DR3) and analyze KOI-1623.01, a Kepler centroid offset false positive (COFP) with a clear transit signal and an orbital period of 111 days. High-contrast imaging with Keck/NIRC2 reveals that KOI-1623A has a close companion with a separation of 0.704 plus or minus 0.002 arcsec, consisting of a slightly evolved G-type primary and a K-dwarf secondary, while Gaia detects a tertiary companion with common proper motion at a separation of about 8.4 arcsec. By combining transit photometry, Kepler pixel level data, direct imaging, and Gaia DR3, we find that the transit signal is consistent with a 10.02+0.44-0.31 R giant planet located in the habitable zone of the secondary. We furthermore use resolved companions from Gaia to estimate that another about 70 out of 515 of Kepler's centroid false positives were misclassified and instead are real planets that belong to binary systems.
Sources
- The Gaia-Kepler-TESS-Host Stellar Properties Catalog: Uniform Physical Parameters for 7993 Host Stars and 9324 Planets
- High-resolution Infrared Spectrograph for Exoplanet Characterization with the Keck and Thirty Meter Telescopes
- A complete census of planet-hosting binaries
- Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC
- Using stacking to average Bayesian predictive distributions
- Dynamical Architectures of S-type Transiting Planets in Binaries II: A Dichotomy in Orbital Alignment of Small Planets in Close Binary Systems
- Two warm Earth-sized exoplanets and an Earth-sized candidate in the M5V-M6V binary system TOI-2267
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