Constraining quantum-gravity predictions for evolving dark energy

We confront a class of dark-energy equations of state emerging from group field theory (GFT) quantum gravity with DESI Data Release 2 baryon acoustic oscillations and Pantheon+ type-Ia supernovae. We introduce sampling parametrisations that replace microscopic initial-condition parameters by combinations more directly measured by background probes. The GFT solutions separate into logarithmic, power-law and oscillatory branches, determined by the microscopic interaction parameter m. The logarithmic branch is constrained to lie extremely close to a cosmological constant, while the power-law branch permits a small phantom deviation. Without perturbative-theory priors, oscillatory solutions can reproduce the mild preference of the distance data for a dip in w(z) near z 0.5 -- 1. Profile-likelihood constraints favour m about-2 and m about-5 from BAO and supernovae, shifting towards m about-3.5 when CMB information is included. Conservative perturbative priors strongly suppress these deviations from Λ CDM. The quantum-gravity scale z q, related to the average number of quantum gravity atoms, remains unconstrained, although its role in the time evolution makes higher-redshift observations a promising route to probing it. We further find that strong projection effects highlight the importance of performing likelihood profiling alongside our marginal posterior constraints. Our results provide a first direct test of GFT-motivated dynamical dark energy and demonstrate the potential for cosmological observations to inform quantum-gravity model building.