From Narrative to Auditable Forecasts: A Structured Scaffold for Agentic Forecasting

arXiv:2609.05905 · cs.CL, cs.LG · Submitted 2026-09-05 · Read on arXiv

cs.CL, cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-09-05

Updated: 2026-09-05

Comments: Accepted to Findings of EMNLP 2026

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Accuracy — 3× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Aggregation — 2× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Benchmark — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Calibration — 1× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Probabilistic Forecasting — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes

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