Predicting Spatiotemporal Mobile Sensing-Based PM2.5 Concentrations Using Low-Rank Adapted Spatially Attentive Graph Neural Network

Urban air quality can vary significantly along transit corridors, necessitating high-resolution monitoring. This work introduces a novel mobile-sensing dataset from Surat, Gujarat, India, comprising PM * 2.5 concentrations, meteorological variables (temperature, humidity, wind speed, wind direction), and land-use features. To represent the spatiotemporal data as a graph, two node-definition strategies were used: (i) uniform segmentation (200--400 m intervals) and (ii) DBSCAN clustering to adaptively group dense observations. For each node, rolling mean and standard deviation of meteorological variables were computed. To model this high-dimensional data, we propose a SA-GNN for fine-grained, short-term PM * 2.5 forecasting and hotspot identification. We compared SA-GNN with LSTM, RNN, GRU, and ANN models. These models performed well on low-resolution data but had difficulty capturing rapidly changing patterns in urban air quality. SA-GNN employs cluster-specific GRUs to capture localized temporal dependencies and a Graph Attention Network to learn spatial heterogeneity. This hybrid architecture effectively models rapid fluctuations and complex spatial interactions. On our dataset, SA-GNN achieved R squared = 0.95, RMSE = 6.8, and MAE = 4.2, outperforming all baseline models. Combining spatial clustering with adaptive attention significantly improves forecasting, enabling real-time, fine-grained monitoring and supporting personalized exposure tracking and timely alerts for healthier cities.