ResLearn-XR: Residual Learning for Network Traffic and Quality-of-Experience-Aware Modeling in Extended Reality

We present ResLearn-XR, a residual learning framework for predicting eXtended Reality (XR) network traffic and estimating Quality-of-Experience (QoE) risk. ResLearn-XR adopts a two-stage temporal learning structure comprising a base sequence prediction model augmented with task-specific residual learning components to improve adaptability to bursty, non-stationary XR traffic dynamics. The residual learning stages operate in the value space for continuous XR traffic forecasting and in the logit space for probabilistic QoE risk estimation. For the QoE-risk branch, we introduce a Data Descriptor Algorithm (DDA), a causal feature-construction module that converts packet-level application-layer observables into frame-timing-aware descriptors suitable for encrypted traffic analysis. We also construct an XR Traffic-QoE dataset that pairs continuous XR traffic traces with session-level user-reported QoE labels. ResLearn-XR reduces SMAPE by up to 17.84% across frame-count, frame-size, and inter-arrival-time prediction, while reducing QoE-risk estimation SMAPE by up to 87.8% over single-stage baselines.