Beyond Point Predictions: Uncertainty-Aware Satellite Poverty Mapping for Public Policy

arXiv:2608.23322 · cs.LG · Submitted 2026-08-24 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-08-24

Updated: 2026-08-26

Terminology

• Calibration — 42× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Transformer — 13× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Accuracy — 12× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Conformal Prediction — 10× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Conformalized Thresholding — 6× in this paper
• Clustering — 5× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Exchangeability — 4× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Earth Resources Observation and Science — 3× in this paper
• Abstention — 2× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Benchmark — 2× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Adam — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Admissibility — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Aggregation — 1× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• International Wealth Index — 1× in this paper
• Robustness — 1× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Theoretical Guarantees — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Transformer Architecture — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Uncertainty Quantification — 1× in this paper · explained in 8 episodes

Sources

• Merging uncertainty sets via majority vote
• Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization

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