Machine Learning and ARIMA Model Averaging for Adaptive Public Health Forecasting: Comparative Evaluation and an Ontario COVID-19 Case Study

arXiv:2608.20406 · cs.LG, stat.AP · Submitted 2026-08-07 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG, stat.AP

Submitted: 2026-08-07

Updated: 2026-08-31

Terminology

• Accuracy — 3× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Adaptation — 3× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Machine Learning and ARIMA Model Averaging — 3× in this paper
• Robustness — 2× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Calibration — 1× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Evaluation Dimensions — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Loss Function — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Regularization — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes

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