Parameter Estimation for Eccentric Supermassive Black Hole Binaries with Pulsar Timing Arrays

arXiv:2608.06944 · astro-ph.HE · Submitted 2026-08-07 · Read on arXiv

Sara Manzini, Stanislav Babak

astro-ph.HE

Submitted: 2026-08-07

Updated: 2026-08-10

Code: https://github.com/nanograv/discovery

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• Accuracy — 6× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Pulsar Timing Array — 5× in this paper
• Bayesian Framework — 4× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Bayesian Inference — 3× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Degeneracy — 2× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Markov Chain Monte Carlo — 2× in this paper
• Normalizing Flow — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Normalizing Flows — 1× in this paper · explained in 4 episodes
• pulsar timing arrays — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes

Sources

• The second data release from the European Pulsar Timing Array III. Search for gravitational wave signals
• The NANOGrav 15-year Data Set: Evidence for a Gravitational-Wave Background
• Search for an isotropic gravitational-wave background with the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array
• The International Pulsar Timing Array: First Data Release
• Massive BH Binaries as Periodically-Variable AGN
• Expected properties of the first gravitational wave signal detected with pulsar timing arrays
• Resolving the nano-Hz gravitational wave sky: the detectability of eccentric binaries with PTA experiments
• Lighting up the nano-hertz gravitational wave sky: opportunities and challenges of multimessenger astronomy with PTA experiments
• Effective-one-body modelling of eccentric supermassive black hole binaries for Pulsar Timing Array
• Rapid parameter estimation for pulsar-timing-array datasets with variational inference and normalizing flows
• Understanding and analysing time-correlated stochastic signals in pulsar timing
• Noise analysis in the European Pulsar Timing Array data release 2 and its implications on the gravitational-wave background search
• From Spin Noise to Systematics: Stochastic Processes in the First International Pulsar Timing Array Data Release
• Hyper-efficient model-independent Bayesian method for the analysis of pulsar timing data
• New advances in the Gaussian-process approach to pulsar-timing data analysis
• Beyond diagonal approximations: improved covariance modeling for pulsar timing array data analysis
• Prototype Global Analysis of LISA Data with Multiple Source Types
• Eryn : A multi-purpose sampler for Bayesian inference
• Bayesian model selection without evidences: application to the dark energy equation-of-state
• Common-red-signal analysis with 24-yr high-precision timing of the European Pulsar Timing Array: Inferences in the stochastic gravitational-wave background search

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