A Four-dimensional Model-agnostic Probe into the Astrophysical Origins of Binary Black Hole Subpopulations
Anarya Ray, Vicky Kalogera
astro-ph.HE, gr-qc
Submitted: 2026-07-30
Code: https://github.com/AnaryaRay1/gppop
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: There is strong evidence of multiple binary black hole (BBH) subpopulations in the cumulative gravitational wave catalog by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration that likely originate through distinct
Terminology
Abstract
There is strong evidence of multiple binary black hole (BBH) subpopulations in the cumulative gravitational wave catalog by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration that likely originate through distinct evolutionary channels. The astrophysical interpretation of this complex underlying population is subject to theoretical uncertainties in treatments of binary stellar evolution, core collapse, and host environments. Due to a lack of robust predictions and the sheer diversity of plausible features, strongly modelled population analyses often lead to prior-driven conclusions. On the other hand, flexible alternatives are often difficult to scale in higher dimensions, which can lead to a loss of critical information on astrophysically meaningful correlations. In this Letter, we present the first data-driven reconstruction of the joint four-dimensional distribution of BBH primary masses, mass ratios, effective inspiral and effective precessing spin parameters, which yields novel model-agnostic constraints on the astrophysical origins of BBH subpopulations. We characterize four distinct subpopulations spanning different ranges of BBH masses and report new correlations in these specific mass ranges that are beyond the reach of strongly modeled parametrizations and lower-dimensional data-driven frameworks. Our results unveil novel insights into the abundances of specific subchannels of isolated binary evolution, dynamical assembly, and hierarchical mergers across various mass ranges in the astrophysical BBH population.
Sources
- GWTC-5.0: Observations from the Second Part of the Fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Observing Run and Updates to the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog
- GWTC-5.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
- Binary Black Hole Phase Space Discovers the Signature of Pair Instability Supernovae Mass Gap
- Evidence for additional structure in the effective spin distribution hints at multiple formation pathways in GWTC-5.0
- Gravitational-wave constraints on the pair-instability mass gap and nuclear burning in massive stars
- Evidence for Three Subpopulations of Merging Binary Black Holes at Different Primary Masses
- Pyro: Deep Universal Probabilistic Programming
- Reversible-jump MCMC reveals binary black hole subpopulations with distinct redshift evolution
- Precision Requirements for Monte Carlo Sums within Hierarchical Bayesian Inference
- Spin-Orbit Misalignments of Eccentric Black Hole Mergers in AGN Disks
- The steep redshift evolution of the hierarchical binary black hole merger rate may cause the $z$-$\chi_{\rm eff}$ correlation
- Transitions in the Mass-ratio and Spin Properties of Binary Black Holes in GWTC-5
- Distinct spin properties and astrophysical origin of low mass binary black holes in gravitational wave data
- Compactness Peaks and Subpopulations: Probing Stellar Physics and Formation Channels of Merging Binary Black Holes
- Second-Generation Mass Peak in the Gravitational-Wave Population as a Probe of Globular Clusters
- Cosmic Cousins: Identification of a Subpopulation of Binary Black Holes Consistent with Isolated Binary Evolution
- Revealing Four Subpopulations of Binary Black-Hole Mergers with the Fifth Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog
- When (not) to trust Monte Carlo approximations for hierarchical Bayesian inference
- Low-mass failed supernovae and the $10\,M_{\odot}$ peak in the merging black hole mass distribution
- Smoking-gun evidence for hierarchical black-hole mergers
Related papers
- Numerical Studies of Accretion Flows onto a Neutron Star Engulfed in a Massive Star
- Collisionless Accretion of Finite-Angular-Momentum Plasma onto a Spinning Black Hole
- Impact of Magnetic Field Topology on Electromagnetic and Gravitational Waves from Binary Neutron Star Merger Remnants
- XRISM Resolve Spectroscopy of GX 5-1: Constraints on Iron Spectral Features in a Luminous Neutron-Star Binary
- SN 1006: A Cosmic Laboratory for Investigating Shock Acceleration Physics
- Neutrino Spectral Pinching in 3D Core-Collapse Supernovae: Late-Time Convergence, Failed-Explosion Signatures, and Viewing-Angle Dispersion