Risk-Limiting Audits for Parliamentary Majorities

arXiv:2607.21082 · stat.AP, cs.CR, cs.CY, stat.ME · Submitted 2026-07-23 · Read on arXiv

stat.AP, cs.CR, cs.CY, stat.ME

Submitted: 2026-07-23

Updated: 2026-07-23

Comments: 22 pages, 7 figures, accepted for E-Vote-ID 2026

Code: https://github.com/datameet/india-election-data

License: http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

Terminology

• alpha — 11× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Adaptive Sampling — 5× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Benchmark — 4× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Bayesian Inference — 1× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Bharatiya Janata Party — 1× in this paper
• Calibration — 1× in this paper · explained in 7 episodes
• Robustness — 1× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes

Sources

• Replicability Across Multiple Studies
• Adaptively Weighted Audits of Instant-Runoff Voting Elections: AWAIRE
• Efficient Weighting Schemes for Auditing Instant-Runoff Voting Elections
• Catch me if you can: Signal localization with knockoff e-values
• Combining independent p-values in replicability analysis: A comparative study
• Risk-Limiting Audits by Stratified Union-Intersection Tests of Elections (SUITE)
• Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inference
• Sequential stratified inference for the mean
• Sets of Half-Average Nulls Generate Risk-Limiting Audits: SHANGRLA
• ALPHA: Audit that Learns from Previously Hand-Audited Ballots
• E-values: Calibration, combination, and applications
• Merging sequential e-values via martingales
• Estimating means of bounded random variables by betting

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