Probing the baryonic--dark matter connection in galaxy clusters using X-rays with gated recurrent unit neural networks

arXiv:2607.20721 · astro-ph.CO · Submitted 2026-07-22 · Read on arXiv

Asif Iqbal, Subhabrata Majumdar, Weiguang Cui, Elena Rasia, Gabriel W. Pratt, Daniel de Andres

astro-ph.CO

Submitted: 2026-07-22

Comments: 21 pages, 21 figures, 4 tables, submitted to A&A, abstract abridged for arXiv submission, comments welcome

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Accurate cluster mass measurements are crucial for cosmology, yet conventional hydrostatic equilibrium (HSE) methods can suffer from systematic biases, particularly in dynamically disturbed systems.

Terminology

Abstract

Accurate cluster mass measurements are crucial for cosmology, yet conventional hydrostatic equilibrium (HSE) methods can suffer from systematic biases, particularly in dynamically disturbed systems. We present a gated recurrent unit (GRU) based deep learning framework for predicting three-dimensional mass profiles of galaxy clusters from spherically averaged intra-cluster medium (ICM) radial profiles. By treating ICM profiles as sequential data, the GRU captures radial dependencies and naturally handles profiles with different radial samplings. We train and validate the model using high-resolution hydrodynamical simulations from The Three Hundred Project, achieving unbiased mass predictions with a typical 1 sigma scatter of about 5% over most of the cluster region, significantly improving upon HSE estimates. The model provides radius-dependent uncertainty estimates and remains robust against variations in data quality and cluster morphology. When trained jointly on independent simulation suites (GIZMO-SIMBA and GADGET-X), it successfully generalises across both simulations. Feature importance analysis shows that enclosed gas mass is the dominant predictor, with pressure and temperature providing additional information on the radial mass distribution. We further apply the GRU model to X-ray observations of the REXCESS and X-COP cluster samples from XMM-Newton and compare the inferred mass profiles with HSE estimates. The HSE masses are systematically lower than the GRU predictions for the higher-mass X-COP sample, while the REXCESS sample shows mass differences that are close to zero on average. This work provides a data-driven framework for cluster mass inference that bridges simulations and observations and can be extended to multi-wavelength datasets, including Sunyaev-Zel'dovich and optical observations.

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