Eccentricity as a Magnifying Glass: Precision Population Inference Enabled by Eccentric Neutron Star-Black Hole Mergers
Alberto Salvarese, Hsin-Yu Chen, Aaron Zimmerman, Snehal Tibrewal
astro-ph.HE
Submitted: 2026-07-17
Comments: 12 pages, 6 figures, 3 tables. Comments are welcome
Code: https://github.com/ax-ml/jax
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: The formation history of compact binary systems remains one of the key open questions in astrophysics.
Terminology
Abstract
The formation history of compact binary systems remains one of the key open questions in astrophysics. Theoretical studies generally favor isolated binary evolution for neutron star-black hole (NSBH) systems, which tends to produce nearly circular orbits. However, recent analyses of the gravitational-wave event GW200105 indicate that its source has measurable eccentricity, suggesting that alternative formation channels may also contribute. It has been shown that the intrinsic parameters of eccentric NSBH mergers, such as the component masses and spins, are much better measured than circular mergers with LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) observatories. We explore how such eccentricity-enhanced parameter measurements can affect the inference of NSBH formation channels. We find that sharper measurements of the effective spin parameter chi eff increase the fraction of systems for which negative values can be confidently identified, allowing for the clear measurement of a spin-orbit misaligned event every about 2.5 eccentric NSBH detections for an isotropically distributed population in the fifth LVK observing run (O5). Improved NS mass measurements provide better constraining power for NS mass distributions, potentially revealing structure and tightening the bounds that can be drawn on their upper and lower masses. Similarly, the recovery of a metallicity-dependent BH mass distribution is improved by eccentricity-enhanced measurements. Finally, we show that the proposed population-level eccentricity distribution for dynamical-formation channels can be tested by the end of O5.
Sources
- GWTC-4.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
- Overview of KAGRA: Calibration, detector characterization, physical environmental monitors, and the geophysics interferometer
- The millisecond pulsar mass distribution: Evidence for bimodality and constraints on the maximum neutron star mass
- A universal framework to identify eccentric binary mergers: GW200105 case study
- GWTC-5.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
- GW200105: A detailed study of eccentricity in the neutron star-black hole binary
- Impact of eccentricity on the population properties of neutron star - black hole mergers
- Composable Effects for Flexible and Accelerated Probabilistic Programming in NumPyro
- The Universal Eccentricity Distribution for Dynamical Gravitational-Wave Merger Channels
- Impact of eccentricity and higher-modes on neutron star-black hole parameter estimation
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