Assessing the waveform systematics from parameter estimation to population inference with eccentricity
Muhammad Zeeshan, Richard O'Shaughnessy, Natalie Malagon, Katelyn J. Wagner
astro-ph.HE
Submitted: 2026-07-16
Code: https://github.com/kokabsc/gwkokab
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: While masses and spins are routinely used to constrain compact binary formation channels, eccentricity provides an additional and potentially powerful diagnostic of binary origin, particularly for
Terminology
Abstract
While masses and spins are routinely used to constrain compact binary formation channels, eccentricity provides an additional and potentially powerful diagnostic of binary origin, particularly for dynamically assembled systems. Recent advances in eccentric waveform modeling now make it possible to search for eccentric signatures in gravitational wave data; however, differences between waveform models can introduce systematic effects that may propagate into astrophysical population inference. In this work, we analyze 153 binary black holes, 2 binary neutron stars and 7 neutron star black hole binaries from the GWTC-4 catalog. We compare the source and population level inferences obtained with two eccentric waveform models, SEOBNRv5EHM and TEOBResumS-DALI, as well as with quasi circular waveform analyses. We find that the two eccentric models give broadly consistent source parameter estimates for most events, but some events exhibit subtle and coherent differences. These small, systematic offsets can accumulate in hierarchical population inference, leading to differences in inferred population properties, most notably in the redshift evolution and effective spin distribution. Because coherent event level biases can grow approximately as sqrt N for a catalog of N events, waveform systematics become increasingly important as gravitational wave catalogs expand. We also introduce a synthetic data framework that generates eccentric populations and corresponding RIFT posterior samples, enabling injection studies that test the recoverability of eccentric population properties.
Sources
- GWTC-1: A Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog of Compact Binary Mergers Observed by LIGO and Virgo during the First and Second Observing Runs
- GWTC-2: Compact Binary Coalescences Observed by LIGO and Virgo During the First Half of the Third Observing Run
- GWTC-2.1: Deep Extended Catalog of Compact Binary Coalescences Observed by LIGO and Virgo During the First Half of the Third Observing Run
- GWTC-3: Compact Binary Coalescences Observed by LIGO and Virgo During the Second Part of the Third Observing Run
- GWTC-4.0: Updating the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog with Observations from the First Part of the Fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Observing Run
- GWTC-4.0: Methods for Identifying and Characterizing Gravitational-wave Transients
- Eccentricity in Disguise? Insights from GW231123 and Numerically Simulated Binary Black Hole Merger Signals
- Aligned Hierarchical Black Hole Mergers in Active-Galactic-Nuclei Disks Revealed by GWTC-4
- GWTC-4.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
- Explaining LIGO's observations via isolated binary evolution with natal kicks
- Advanced LIGO
- Advanced Virgo: a 2nd generation interferometric gravitational wave detector
- KAGRA: 2.5 Generation Interferometric Gravitational Wave Detector
- Overview of KAGRA: Detector design and construction history
- Properties and astrophysical implications of the 150 Msun binary black hole merger GW190521
- GW231123: a Binary Black Hole Merger with Total Mass 190-265 $M_{\odot}$
- Physics, Astrophysics and Cosmology with Gravitational Waves
- Compact Binary Coalescences in the Band of Ground-based Gravitational-Wave Detectors
- The first gravitational-wave source from the isolated evolution of two 40-100 Msun stars
- Astrophysical Implications of the Binary Black-Hole Merger GW150914
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