Identifying lensed gravitational waves with physics-informed posterior learning
Tian-Yang Sun, Xiao Guo, Jing-Fei Zhang, Xin Zhang
gr-qc, astro-ph.CO, astro-ph.IM, hep-ph
Submitted: 2026-07-04
Comments: 18 pages, 10 figures
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: Gravitational lensing of gravitational waves can probe compact lenses, dark matter substructure, and cosmological distances, but identifying lensed events is difficult when unrelated binary mergers
Terminology
Abstract
Gravitational lensing of gravitational waves can probe compact lenses, dark matter substructure, and cosmological distances, but identifying lensed events is difficult when unrelated binary mergers overlap in the same analysis window. We develop physics-informed posterior learning for ranking lensed multi-image signals against unrelated multiple-merger events. The method exploits the geometric-optics consistency that lensing can change amplitudes, arrival times, and Morse phase offsets while preserving the intrinsic phase evolution of the source. We infer a simulation-trained approximate posterior for the common detector-frame chirp mass and symmetric mass ratio, and fuse posterior samples with direct waveform features. Training uses generic multi-image simulations, while point-mass, singular-isothermal-sphere, singular-isothermal-ellipsoid, and shear-perturbed lenses are reserved for held-out lens-family evaluation. For the observationally motivated binary-black-hole population, the fusion ranking raises the detection efficiency from 20.8% to 35.2% at a 1% reference false-positive-rate threshold calibrated on the corresponding unrelated multiple-merger sample. It lowers the network signal-to-noise ratio needed for 50% detection efficiency from 45.3 to 33.5, which corresponds to a 1.35 times larger signal-to-noise-ratio-equivalent distance scale. The gain is limited by loud unrelated multiple-merger events that are partly source consistent, and by the need to calibrate the unrelated multiple-merger population. These results suggest that physical consistency can become a guiding principle for machine learning searches in dense gravitational-wave catalogs.
Sources
- Tests of general relativity with GW150914
- A gravitational-wave standard siren measurement of the Hubble constant
- A 2 per cent Hubble constant measurement from standard sirens within 5 years
- Tests of General Relativity with GW170817
- Impacts of gravitational-wave standard siren observation of the Einstein Telescope on weighing neutrinos in cosmology
- Improving cosmological parameter estimation with the future gravitational-wave standard siren observation from the Einstein Telescope
- Tests of General Relativity with the Binary Black Hole Signals from the LIGO-Virgo Catalog GWTC-1
- Prospect for constraining holographic dark energy with gravitational wave standard sirens from the Einstein Telescope
- Cosmological parameter estimation with future gravitational wave standard siren observation from the Einstein Telescope
- A preliminary forecast for cosmological parameter estimation with gravitational-wave standard sirens from TianQin
- Prospects for improving cosmological parameter estimation with gravitational-wave standard sirens from Taiji
- Forecast for cosmological parameter estimation with gravitational-wave standard siren observation from the Cosmic Explorer
- Tests of General Relativity with Binary Black Holes from the second LIGO-Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog
- A new spin on LIGO-Virgo binary black holes
- Distribution of Effective Spins and Masses of Binary Black Holes from the LIGO and Virgo O1-O3a Observing Runs
- How can gravitational-wave standard sirens and 21 cm intensity mapping jointly provide a precise late-universe cosmological probe?
- Gravitational wave constraints on Lorentz and parity violations in gravity: high-order spatial derivative cases
- The binary black hole spin distribution likely broadens with redshift
- Limits on hierarchical black hole mergers from the most negative $\chi_\mathrm{eff}$ systems
- No evidence that the majority of black holes in binaries have zero spin
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