The Squealer: Sensification of model exploration and model misfit

arXiv:2606.29842 · physics.data-an, astro-ph.CO, stat.ME · Submitted 2026-06-29 · Read on arXiv

Andrew Gelman, Andrew H. Jaffe, Eliot Carlson, Philip Greengard

physics.data-an, astro-ph.CO, stat.ME

Submitted: 2026-06-29

Comments: 18 pages, 11 figures. Submitted to the Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics

Code: https://github.com/elc45/squealer-prototype

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: We introduce a method for visual and auditory feedback when exploring the fit of a model to data.

Terminology

Abstract

We introduce a method for visual and auditory feedback when exploring the fit of a model to data. Starting with a best-fit curve fit to data, the user can drag the curve to a new position and the computer will emit a squeal, becoming louder and more unpleasant as the discrepancy between curve and data increases. We demonstrate with four examples: a two-parameter curve fit to golf putting data, a four-parameter curve fit to dilution assays, a fit to cosmological data sensitive to the parameters of the Big Bang model, and a nonparametric Gaussian process fit to temperature readings.

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