Twin Peaks: Resolving Features in the Binary Black Hole Mass Function with COSMIC-METISSE

arXiv:2606.28506 · astro-ph.HE · Submitted 2026-06-26 · Read on arXiv

Duncan B. Maclean, Poojan Agrawal, Katelyn Breivik, Alexandra G. Guerrero, Michael Zevin, Mathieu Renzo, Carl L. Rodriguez

astro-ph.HE

Submitted: 2026-06-26

Updated: 2026-08-21

Comments: 22 pages, 12 figures. Submitted to ApJ

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Gravitational waves from inspiraling binary black holes (BBHs) provide insights into the lives and deaths of massive stars.

Terminology

Abstract

Gravitational waves from inspiraling binary black holes (BBHs) provide insights into the lives and deaths of massive stars. Population synthesis allows us to model these binaries through isolated binary evolution, but its predictive power is limited by difficulties in varying the stellar models and their associated uncertainties. We present a new grid of stellar tracks computed with the open-source stellar evolution code MESA, spanning metallicities 10-3 Z/Z 7. We vary two stellar physics parameters: wind-driven mass loss and the convective boundary mixing (CBM) mechanism. We pair these models with the Method of Interpolation for Single Stellar Evolution (METISSE) and binary population synthesis code COSMIC to obtain synthetic populations of merging BBHs in the local Universe. We find a maximum in the primary mass spectrum near 10M which in most model variations is composed of two sub-populations at about8M and about13 M, with the higher-mass population dominated by BBHs whose progenitors underwent a mass ratio reversal (MRR). This population also suggests an anticorrelation between higher primary masses and mass ratio, as BBHs with m 1 10M preferentially undergo MRR and prefer a final mass ratio of q about0.7. However, the location and relative strength of these two sub-populations is sensitive to our assumed stellar physics: varying both the wind and CBM treatments can merge the MRR and non-MRR populations into a single peak near 9M. Variations in our stellar tracks, especially CBM, lead to a factor of about6 difference in the rate, primarily due to modulation of the common envelope formation channel.

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