Twin Peaks: Resolving Features in the Binary Black Hole Mass Function with COSMIC-METISSE
Duncan B. Maclean, Poojan Agrawal, Katelyn Breivik, Alexandra G. Guerrero, Michael Zevin, Mathieu Renzo, Carl L. Rodriguez
astro-ph.HE
Submitted: 2026-06-26
Updated: 2026-08-21
Comments: 22 pages, 12 figures. Submitted to ApJ
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: Gravitational waves from inspiraling binary black holes (BBHs) provide insights into the lives and deaths of massive stars.
Terminology
Abstract
Gravitational waves from inspiraling binary black holes (BBHs) provide insights into the lives and deaths of massive stars. Population synthesis allows us to model these binaries through isolated binary evolution, but its predictive power is limited by difficulties in varying the stellar models and their associated uncertainties. We present a new grid of stellar tracks computed with the open-source stellar evolution code MESA, spanning metallicities 10-3 Z/Z 7. We vary two stellar physics parameters: wind-driven mass loss and the convective boundary mixing (CBM) mechanism. We pair these models with the Method of Interpolation for Single Stellar Evolution (METISSE) and binary population synthesis code COSMIC to obtain synthetic populations of merging BBHs in the local Universe. We find a maximum in the primary mass spectrum near 10M which in most model variations is composed of two sub-populations at about8M and about13 M, with the higher-mass population dominated by BBHs whose progenitors underwent a mass ratio reversal (MRR). This population also suggests an anticorrelation between higher primary masses and mass ratio, as BBHs with m 1 10M preferentially undergo MRR and prefer a final mass ratio of q about0.7. However, the location and relative strength of these two sub-populations is sensitive to our assumed stellar physics: varying both the wind and CBM treatments can merge the MRR and non-MRR populations into a single peak near 9M. Variations in our stellar tracks, especially CBM, lead to a factor of about6 difference in the rate, primarily due to modulation of the common envelope formation channel.
Sources
- GWTC-4.0: Updating the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog with Observations from the First Part of the Fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Observing Run
- GWTC-4.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
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- How Common Are Common Envelopes? Quantifying Their Role in Forming Gravitational-Wave Sources
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- The evolution of AGB stars with convective overshoot
- The Initial Mass Function and its Variation
- New line-driven wind mass-loss rates for OB stars with metallicities down to $0.01\,Z_\odot$
- GWTC-5.0: Observations from the Second Part of the Fourth LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Observing Run and Updates to the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog
- GWTC-5.0: Population Properties of Merging Compact Binaries
- On the Astrophysical Origin of Binary Black Hole Subpopulations: A Tale of Three Channels?
- The Stellar Winds Atlas I: Current uncertainties in mass-loss rates
- Binary Evolution Can Mimic the Pair-Instability Mass Gap in Black Hole Mergers
- Massquerade: Impacts of Mass Ratio Reversals on Binary Black Hole Merger Rates and Mass Distributions
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