The Dynamical Origin of Millimetre-Sized Sporadic Meteoroids

arXiv:2606.27452 · astro-ph.EP · Submitted 2026-06-25 · Read on arXiv

Tam Do, Peter Brown, Petr Pokorný

astro-ph.EP

Submitted: 2026-06-25

Comments: 35 pages, 23 figures, accepted to Icarus, presented in early stages at Meteoroids 2025 conference, will be presented in full at ACM 2026 conference

Code: https://github.com/wmpg/WesternMeteorPyLib

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Determining the relative contributions of cometary and asteroidal sources to the sporadic meteoroid population remains a longstanding challenge, particularly because commonly used orbit-based

Terminology

Abstract

Determining the relative contributions of cometary and asteroidal sources to the sporadic meteoroid population remains a longstanding challenge, particularly because commonly used orbit-based classification criteria have not been rigorously validated for meteoroids. We evaluate the efficacy of several established orbit-based criteria for meteoroid classification. These include the Whipple K-criterion, Kres'ak Pe-criterion, the Tisserand invariant with respect to Jupiter (T J), and a recent classification based on aphelion distance proposed by Borovi ka. Our validations suggest that K and Pe are most reliable at recovering whether a meteoroid was released from a cometary or asteroidal parent. We applied these criteria to a suite of 386 observed millimetre-sized meteoroids to try to constrain their original source populations. Our analysis used the observed orbit co-variances to backward integrate a suite of clones for each meteoroid to statistically evaluate their dynamical origin. We find that if meteoroids are released in the last 150-200 kyr, there is a dividing velocity of below 17 km/s where meteoroids in the millimetre to centimetre size range impacting Earth are predominantly asteroidal in origin, independent of the orbital criteria used. Above 17 km/s, the fraction of dynamically cometary meteoroids increases, although a definitively cometary dominated population does not arise until velocities of 27 km/s or higher. For ages older than 200 kyr, lower velocity meteoroids at Earth in the mm-sized range may be a mix of either cometary or asteroidal.

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