Using SKAO to Understand the Clustering of Gravitational Wave Sources
Michele Bosi, Sarah Libanore, Nicola Bellomo, Caterina Scarpel, Federico Semenzato, Alvise Raccanelli, Michele Liguori
astro-ph.CO
Submitted: 2026-06-23
Comments: Published in Advancing Astrophysics with the SKA II (AASKAII), 2026 (arXiv:2606.20366). Report-no:AASKAII/Bosi01. Advancing Astrophysics with the SKA II (AASKAII) outlines the transformative scientific advances that will be enabled by the SKA telescopes
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
The gist: Coalescing Binary Black Holes (BBHs) trace the Large-Scale Structure (LSS) of the Universe, and their clustering properties can be extracted from Gravitational Wave (GW) data.
Terminology
Abstract
Coalescing Binary Black Holes (BBHs) trace the Large-Scale Structure (LSS) of the Universe, and their clustering properties can be extracted from Gravitational Wave (GW) data. Next-generation detectors, such as the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer, will enable statistical studies of GW sources thanks to the massive number of detected events. However, such events will still suffer from significant instrumental and theoretical uncertainties. Cross-correlating GW maps with other LSS surveys provides a promising strategy to mitigate these limitations. The SKA-Mid intensity mapping and radio continuum surveys offer ideal datasets for cross-correlation studies with GWs (SKAO times ET2CE). Their wide sky coverage and deep redshift sensitivity will allow precise probing of the epochs and environments where stellar BBHs form most efficiently. In this chapter, we forecast the potential of cross-correlation angular power spectra to extract information on the distribution and clustering properties of GW events. First, we model the number density and bias of three independent tracers: GW sources, neutral hydrogen intensity maps, and radio galaxies. We estimate the constraining power of SKA-Mid times ET2CE on the GW clustering bias, which carries information on the origin of GW progenitors, e.g., whether they formed through stellar evolution or are primordial black holes. Finally, we develop a semi-analytic model for GW events hosted by SKAO galaxies as a function of the time-delay distribution between the binary formation and merger, which is still largely uncertain to date. We forecast the signal-to-noise ratio of their cross-correlation with SKA-Mid, and demonstrate that SKA-Mid times ET2CE will foster our understanding of the time-delay distribution.
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