Evolving Dark Energy Is Vacuum Energy After All

arXiv:2606.20036 · astro-ph.CO, hep-ph, hep-th · Submitted 2026-06-18 · Read on arXiv

Dong Ha Lee, Carsten van de Bruck, Eleonora Di Valentino, Ludovic Van Waerbeke, Ariel Zhitnitsky

astro-ph.CO, hep-ph, hep-th

Submitted: 2026-06-18

Comments: Version submitted to journal

Code: https://github.com/dlehdgk/class

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: We investigate a physically motivated model of dynamical dark energy arising from the non-perturbative topological structure of the Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD) vacuum.

Terminology

Abstract

We investigate a physically motivated model of dynamical dark energy arising from the non-perturbative topological structure of the Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD) vacuum. The model introduces no new fundamental field or propagating degree of freedom: the dark energy (DE) density emerges as a global vacuum response to an expanding spacetime. We develop the first comprehensive cosmological implementation of this QCD-DE scenario and confront it with current observations, including Planck, ACT and SPT-3G cosmic microwave background data, DESI DR2 baryon acoustic oscillation measurements, and Type Ia supernova samples from Pantheon+ and DES-Dovekie. We compare the model with CDM and w 0w a CDM cosmologies. The model provides an excellent fit to the data and reproduces the late-time DE evolution preferred by DESI. The model naturally predicts effective phantom crossing behaviour at intermediate redshifts (z about0.67) while avoiding the instabilities associated with phantom scalar fields. Using goodness-of-fit statistics and Bayesian model-selection tools, including Akaike and Deviance Information Criteria and Bayesian evidence estimated from Markov-Chain Monte Carlo chains, we find that the QCD-induced model is consistently favoured over CDM for the full combination of early and late-time datasets. Unlike the conventional descriptions of dynamical DE, support for QCD-DE in Bayesian evidence remains more consistent across datasets, suggesting that a physically motivated departure from a cosmological constant may provide a more economical description of the expansion history preferred by current observations.

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