Data-Driven Discovery of a Simple Phantom-Crossing Dark Energy Parametrization
Giulia Borghetto, Ameek Malhotra, Simran Arora, Antonio De Felice, Shinji Mukohyama, Gianmassimo Tasinato, Ivonne Zavala
astro-ph.CO, hep-th
Submitted: 2026-06-16
Comments: 30 pages, 7 figures, 3 tables. Comments welcome!
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: We develop a data-driven reconstruction programme for the dark-energy equation of state within VCDM, a minimally modified gravity framework in which both background and linear perturbations can be
Terminology
Abstract
We develop a data-driven reconstruction programme for the dark-energy equation of state within VCDM, a minimally modified gravity framework in which both background and linear perturbations can be consistently evolved across the phantom divide. Using CMB, BAO, and type-Ia supernova data, we first perform a Bayesian spline reconstruction of w(a), finding a preference for smooth, monotonic phantom-crossing trajectories. Bayesian evidence disfavors increasingly complex spline models, indicating that current observations exhibit a statistical preference for low-complexity dark-energy dynamics. Motivated by this result, we apply Exhaustive Symbolic Regression, an interpretable machine-learning technique that systematically searches over analytic expressions of fixed complexity, identifying the remarkably simple one-parameter form w(a)= w 0 / sqrt a, which reproduces the reconstructed behaviour and fits the data at a level comparable to standard two-parameter parametrizations such as CPL. The model naturally crosses the phantom divide for w 0<0, suppresses early dark energy, and predicts a transient accelerating and phantom phase without a future big-rip singularity. As a one-parameter model, it is highly predictive, being a genuinely dynamical deformation of the cosmological constant rather than containing it as a limit. Bayesian model comparison yields mild-to-moderate support for this parametrization relative to standard two-parameter alternatives, and stronger evidence relative to CDM. Our results suggest that current observations favour surprisingly simple dark-energy dynamics and illustrate how Bayesian reconstruction and symbolic regression can be combined into a principled model-discovery framework for cosmology.
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