Assessment of the Mass Loss and Radius Change of 3I/ATLAS Based on Observed Production Rates
Tessa T. Frincke, Darryl Z. Seligman
astro-ph.EP, astro-ph.GA
Submitted: 2026-05-31
Comments: 16 pages, 5 figures, 2 tables, resubmitted to MNRAS based on reviewer comments, machine readable table of all reported 3I/ATLAS production rates available at https://github.com/tfrinck/3IATLAS-PRODUCTON-RATE-TABLE.git
Code: https://github.com/tfrinck/3IATLAS-PRODUCTON-RATE-TABLE
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
The gist: Formed from the debris of planet formation, interstellar comets provide invaluable insights into the chemical compositions of planetary systems outside of our Solar System.
Terminology
Abstract
Formed from the debris of planet formation, interstellar comets provide invaluable insights into the chemical compositions of planetary systems outside of our Solar System. Spectroscopic observations of 3I/ATLAS, the third interstellar object, reveal production of numerous volatiles and refractory species throughout its trajectory. In this paper we present a framework to calculate the change in radius of an object on an arbitrary trajectory at any point in its orbit, applicable to any small body experiencing mass-loss. We next provide a comprehensive, machine readable table containing volatile and refractory production rates from all reported observations of 3I/ATLAS pre- and post-perihelion. Applying these equations to 3I/ATLAS, we calculate that it has lost about 1.28-5.53 meters of its surface during its passage through the Solar System from gas alone, corresponding to about 10 9-10 10 kg and about 0.12-0.53 % of its total mass. Considering dust-to-gas ratios from 1-4, we estimate surface erosion down to depths > 10 meters. We present these calculations as approximations based on discontinuous observational data with varying methodology and instrumentation. We also estimate contributions from detected parent molecules separate from the daughter products of photodissociation. Conservative and optimistic estimates were calculated over a range of heliocentric distances defined by the onset of activity in reported observations and the typical onset of sublimation distance for each species, respectively. The reported production rates combined with the change in radius calculation can be used to estimate subsurface locations of various species within the nucleus of 3I/ATLAS.
Sources
- Interstellar comet 2I/Borisov as seen by MUSE: C$_2$, NH$_2$ and red CN detections
- The Volatile Inventory of 3I/ATLAS as seen with JWST/MIRI
- Perihelion observations of interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS with the IRAM 30-m telescope
- Near-perihelion activity and composition of 3I/ATLAS from JUICE/MAJIS observations
- NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory Observations of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS (C/2025 N1)
- Dust Properties of the Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS Revealed by Optical and Near-Infrared Polarimetry
- Water Production of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS from SOHO/SWAN Observations after Perihelion
- Isotopic Evidence for a Cold and Distant Origin of the Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS
- JCMT detection of HCN emission from 3I/ATLAS at 2.1 AU
- A portrait throughout perihelion of the NH$_2$-rich interstellar comet 2I/Borisov
- Time-Domain Photometry and Activity Evolution of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS with BHTOM
- JCMT Constraints on the Early-Time HCN and CO Emission and HCN Temporal Evolution of 3I/ATLAS
- Spatial Profiles of 3I/ATLAS CN and Ni Outgassing from Keck/KCWI Integral Field Spectroscopy
- University of Hawaii 88-inch Telescope Observations of the Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS: Spectrophotometric Blue-Sensitive Spectral Time Series Spanning Two Months from Discovery
- Post-Perihelion Integral Field Spectroscopy of the Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS
- Nucleus and Postperihelion Activity of Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS Observed by Hubble Space Telescope
- Origin and evolution of NiI and FeI in the coma of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS throughout its trajectory
- Pre-perihelion Volatile Evolution of Interstellar Comet 3I/ATLAS Indicating Significant Contribution from Extended Source in the Coma
- SPHEREx Pre-Perihelion Mapping of $\mathrm{H_2O}$, $\mathrm{CO_2}$, and $\mathrm{CO}$ in Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS
- SPHEREx Re-Observation of Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS in December 2025: Detection of Increased Post-Perihelion Activity, Refractory Coma Dust, and New Coma Gas Species
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