Conformalized Quantum DeepONet Ensembles: Towards Scalable Operator Learning with Distribution-Free Guarantees

arXiv:2605.00330 · cs.LG · Submitted 2026-05-01 · Read on arXiv

cs.LG

Submitted: 2026-05-01

Updated: 2026-09-07

Code: https://github.com/purav-0000/conformalized-quantum-deeponet

License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The gist: Operator learning enables fast surrogate modelling of high-dimensional dynamical systems, but existing approaches face two fundamental limitations: the quadratic cost of dense neural layers and

Terminology

Abstract

Operator learning enables fast surrogate modelling of high-dimensional dynamical systems, but existing approaches face two fundamental limitations: the quadratic cost of dense neural layers and unreliable uncertainty quantification in safety-critical settings. We propose Conformalized Quantum DeepONet Ensembles, a framework that addresses both challenges simultaneously. Using Quantum Orthogonal Neural Networks (QOrthoNNs), we characterize the resource regime in which their established (n) hidden-layer running-time scaling improves on the O(n 2) cost of a classical dense layer. To quantify uncertainty, we combine ensemble predictions with split conformal calibration. For a new input-output function pair jointly exchangeable with the calibration pairs, we prove a finite-sample, distribution-free lower bound on the expected fraction of covered query locations. As a secondary proof-of-concept, we explore hybrid classical-quantum architectures and superposed execution to manage ensemble runtime and hardware requirements. Experiments on synthetic operator benchmarks and real-world power-system dynamics show accurate predictions under ideal simulation and empirical coverage near the target under both ideal conditions and selected compact-circuit simulations with depolarizing or device-calibrated composite noise. Together, these results connect resource-aware scalability analysis with finite-sample uncertainty guarantees for quantum operator learning.

Sources

Related papers