Critical-like growth in non-critical transitions: linearised dynamics and epidemic applications

arXiv:2601.14869 · q-bio.PE · Submitted 2026-01-21 · Read on arXiv

q-bio.PE

Submitted: 2026-01-21

Updated: 2026-09-17

Code: https://github.com/joshlooks/non-stationary-ews

Terminology

• Trace — 6× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Computational Biology — 4× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Alignment — 2× in this paper · explained in 1 episode
• Bifurcation Analysis — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes
• Degeneracy — 1× in this paper · explained in 3 episodes
• Robustness — 1× in this paper · explained in 5 episodes
• Spectral Geometry — 1× in this paper · explained in 2 episodes

Sources

• Inferring Non-Normal Amplification Geometry from Multivariate Time Series
• Likelihood estimation of an interpretable early-warning sign of critical transitions

Related papers

• Drivers of periodicity in population dynamic models of long-lived, large mammals
• Constraints on the perfect phylogeny mixture model and their effect on reducing degeneracy
• Interplay between evolutionary and epidemic time scales challenges the outcome of control policies
• Evolutionary foraging in grids: Intermittent search dynamics emerge in finite, depletable landscapes
• Life Finds A Way: Emergence of Cooperative Structures in Adaptive Threshold Networks
• Fluctuating growth rate and spatial diffusion shape plankton diversity