Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality
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Introduction to the show: ident: Genomics Radio. Generated commentary on the latest computational biology and genomics papers.
Ines: I'm Ines, and with me are Marcus and Yuki, guest researcher.
Marcus: Today's paper: "Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality".
Ines: Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality investigate whether static maximum entropy (ME) models can distinguish between dynamical states like criticality and supercriticality,
Marcus: First, who's behind it and why it matters.
Paper summary: Ines: To recap where we are, this paper is investigating whether static maximum entropy models can distinguish between dynamical states like criticality and supercriticality using avalanche statistics. The core thesis is that these models cannot separate the two dynamic states effectively when analyzing neuronal populations at and off criticality.
Marcus: They claim that while these static maximum entropy models correctly identify subcritical states as lacking thermodynamic hints of criticality, they fail to discriminate between dynamical criticality and supercriticality because both exhibit similar thermodynamic signatures near unit temperature.
Yuki: Essentially, the paper is arguing that relying solely on the static thermodynamic properties derived from these models isn't sufficient to fully characterize the dynamic nature of brain activity in terms of criticality. The authors are addressing how deviations from dynamical criticality are captured by changes in thermodynamic properties, and vice versa.
Ines: Why does this matter for our work? Because if we use these models as a tool to find biomarkers for brain disorders—and criticality is being used as one—we might misclassify a supercritical state as merely critical because the static models can't tell them apart dynamically.
Marcus: That's exactly right, Ines. From a genomics data science standpoint, if we are looking at cohort data that exhibits these complex dynamics, we need tools that can capture that nuance rather than just fitting a single static thermodynamic curve to everything.
Yuki: It connects the microscopic level of neuronal firing patterns to macroscopic system behavior under perturbation; it’s about understanding how subtle changes in environmental conditions—like those drug effects mentioned—lead to fundamentally different statistical regimes.
Ines: So, the paper is setting up a problem: how do we reconcile the static thermodynamic evidence with the dynamic scaling evidence when dealing with these complex systems? It sets the stage for needing models that capture both aspects simultaneously.
Marcus: It moves beyond just looking at one set of statistics—like just avalanche size distributions—and forces us to consider how those statistics evolve over time, which is where the temporal dynamics come into play.
Yuki: That’s a crucial point; it validates the need for richer models that incorporate temporal information if we want to accurately map biological transitions onto theoretical concepts like criticality.
Ines: It really highlights the gap in current modeling approaches when they try to bridge the gap between static statistical descriptions and dynamic, real-time system behavior in neuroscience.
Marcus: And it suggests that for any robust analysis of these systems, we need a framework that doesn't treat dynamics as an afterthought but as a primary constraint on the statistical inference.
Yuki: That is precisely what the authors seem to be pushing for; integrating dynamic constraints into the maximum entropy framework is the path forward to get a clearer picture of criticality in biological contexts.
Conclusion: Ines: So, wrapping up this discussion on "Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality," the paper by Sim˜oes et al. is essentially saying that we need more sophisticated modeling when assessing brain health markers based on neuronal activity.
Marcus: I think the implication is that static maximum entropy models are good for filtering out clearly subcritical states, but they fall short when trying to differentiate between a system being truly critical or just slightly supercritical in terms of its dynamic behavior.
Yuki: From a broader view, this paper reinforces the idea that biological systems operate in complex regimes where simple, single-parameter models based only on static statistical features might not capture the full complexity of what's happening dynamically.
Ines: It means that for future research, we should look toward maximum entropy approaches that explicitly incorporate temporal dynamics to see if those models can finally separate the critical and supercritical states effectively.
Marcus: I agree with Ines; the paper suggests caution when drawing conclusions solely from static modeling; we have to ensure our models account for how the system actually moves through its states. That’s a necessary step before we try to apply these findings to large-scale cohort analyses.
Yuki: Ultimately, it encourages us to view criticality not as a single fixed point, but as a dynamic process that exists across different functional regimes, and understanding that process is key to understanding the biology.
Ines: So, the main takeaway is that while static ME models are useful for initial classification based on avalanche metrics, they need dynamic information added if we want to distinguish between criticality and supercriticality reliably.
Marcus: That’s a solid conclusion for this paper. It frames the next step as developing models that can handle both the static statistical inference and the dynamic evolution of those systems together.
Yuki: And for population studies, this means being more sensitive to subtle shifts in behavior across different environmental conditions when interpreting genetic or phenotypic data related to system stability.
Ines: That's a great way to put it—moving from a static snapshot to understanding the process itself, which is where the real biological insights lie.
T. S. A. N. Sim˜oes, F. Lombardi, D. Plenz, H. J. Herrmann, L. de Arcangelis
University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli”, Department of Mathematics and Physics, Caserta, Viale Lincoln, 5, 81100, Italy · Department of Biomedical Sciences, University of Padova · National Institute of Mental Health · Universidade Federal do Cear´a · ESPCI
q-bio.NC
Submitted: 2025-11-18
Updated: 2026-09-28
License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Importance score: 83/100
The gist: Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality investigate whether static maximum entropy (ME) models can distinguish between dynamical states like criticality and
Key concepts
- Maximum Entropy Modeling (ME)
- This method creates a probability distribution that maximizes uncertainty given certain measured statistics like firing rates. It helps infer underlying thermodynamic properties from observed neuronal activity patterns.
- Criticality vs. Supercriticality
- These are different dynamical states of neuronal populations characterized by avalanche statistics. Criticality is marked by power-law behaviors, while supercriticality shows a tendency for very large avalanches, which represent a state beyond simple criticality.
- Thermodynamic Signatures (Cv/χ)
- These are physical quantities like specific heat and susceptibility derived from the ME models. The study found that both critical and supercritical states show peaks in these measures near a temperature of one, but subcritical states do not.
Terminology
Summary
Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality investigate whether static maximum entropy (ME) models can distinguish between dynamical states like criticality and supercriticality, which are otherwise difficult to separate using only avalanche statistics. This work addresses this by analyzing spontaneous activity in organotypic rat cortex slice cultures under baseline, hypoexcitable (subcritical), and drug-induced hyperexcitable (supercritical) conditions, finding that while static ME models correctly identify subcritical states as lacking thermodynamic hints of criticality, they fail to discriminate between dynamical criticality and supercriticality.
Experimental Setup and Classification
The study utilized spontaneous activity from organotypic rat cortex slice cultures maintained on a planar microelectrode array (MEA). Neuronal populations were classified into three dynamic regimes based on their avalanche size and duration distributions: critical, subcritical, and supercritical. Critical cultures exhibited power-law behaviors in avalanche statistics. Subcritical cultures displayed exponential size and duration distributions, while supercritical cultures showed a pronounced increase in large avalanches of the order of the system size. These dynamical classifications were confirmed using an interpretable neural network model that could be tuned to these states by adjusting a single parameter.
Maximum Entropy Modeling Framework
The core methodology involves constructing a probability distribution, PMEM(σ), that maximizes entropy subject to constraints derived from measured statistics, such as individual firing rates and pairwise correlations. The resulting distribution is mathematically equivalent to the Boltzmann distribution with temperature T=1. This framework allows for the analysis of thermodynamic quantities like specific heat and susceptibility. The method was implemented using a gradient-descent algorithm called Boltzmann Machine (BM) learning to minimize the Kullback-Leibler divergence between empirical data distributions and the inferred ME distributions.
Distinguishing Dynamical States via ME Signatures
The researchers found that static ME models inferred from critical cultures showed signatures of criticality in thermodynamic quantities, e.g., specific heat.
However, these signatures were also present and equally strong in models inferred from supercritical cultures despite their altered dynamics and poor functional performance. Conversely, ME models inferred from subcritical cultures do not show thermodynamic hints of criticality.
This indicates that static ME models can correctly distinguish subcritical systems from critical/supercritical systems based on avalanche metrics.
Inferred Ising-like Models and Parameter Analysis
The ME distributions were mapped onto a generalized Ising-like model defined by a Hamiltonian H(σ). The inferred parameters—local fields (hi), interaction constants (Jij), and potentials (VK)—were learned using the BM algorithm. For the IF network, the local fields hi shifted from strongly negative values toward less negative and positive values as systems are driven from the subcritical to the critical and supercritical state.
Notably, VK were not negligible in critical and supercritical states,
showing a stronger increase in large avalanches in the supercritical regime
compared to criticality.
Thermodynamic Signatures Across States
The thermodynamic response functions, specifically specific heat Cv/N and intensive susceptibility χ/N, were analyzed as functions of the temperature parameter T. In both critical and supercritical systems, these quantities show pronounced maxima near the effective temperature T = 1.
These maxima grow superlinearly with system size N in IF networks and with the number of sampled electrodes in cultures. However, for subcritical systems, Cv and χ do not show such evidence of criticality,
indicating that static ME models correctly distinguish between these states based on both dynamical metrics and thermodynamic properties.
Conclusion on Criticality Assessment
The study concludes that while static ME models are effective at distinguishing subcritical from critical/supercritical systems based on avalanche dynamics, they may not be able to discriminate between avalanche criticality and supercriticality,
suggesting that dynamics is relevant to capture the supercritical behavior and distinguish it from criticality.
Therefore, caution is advised when drawing conclusions about criticality or deviations from it solely based on static ME modeling approaches that do not constrain dynamical properties. The authors suggest that ME approaches incorporating dynamic information may be more suitable for distinguishing between critical and supercritical states.
Key Findings Enumerated:
-
Static ME models inferred from critical cultures show thermodynamic signatures of criticality (e.g., specific heat).
-
These signatures are also present in models inferred from supercritical cultures, despite altered dynamics.
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ME models inferred from subcritical cultures do not show thermodynamic hints of criticality.
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The static ME models correctly distinguish subcritical systems from critical/supercritical ones based on avalanche metrics (e.g., power-law vs exponential distributions).
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Static ME models may fail to discriminate between dynamical criticality and supercriticality, as dynamics are relevant for capturing supercritical behavior.
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K-pairwise Ising models inferred from critical and supercritical systems exhibit pronounced maxima in Cv and χ near T=1, suggesting they operate at or close to a critical point in the thermodynamic limit.
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Subcritical systems (both numerical and experimental) do not show clear maxima in Cv and χ, indicating they are not operating at criticality according to these thermodynamic measures.
Improvements for AI systems
As a fastidious and diligent researcher, I have analyzed the provided scientific paper, Maximum entropy models of neuronal populations at and off criticality.
The core findings revolve around bridging the gap between dynamical measures of criticality (neuronal avalanches) and static thermodynamic signatures (maxima in specific heat and susceptibility) derived from Maximum Entropy (ME) models.
Here are the specific improvements to AI systems that can be made, categorized by capability:
)1. Enhanced State Classification and Robustness
The paper demonstrates that static ME models can correctly distinguish between subcritical, critical, and supercritical states based on avalanche dynamics (power-law scaling vs. exponential decay). However, it notes a limitation: they may not be able to discriminate between avalanche criticality and supercriticality.
-
The AI system can be improved by integrating the ME model's thermodynamic signatures (maxima in specific heat/susceptibility near T=1) as a secondary, complementary feature for state classification.
-
It can perform more robust
distance to criticality
measurements by analyzing both dynamical measures (avalanche scaling) and thermodynamic signatures simultaneously, potentially resolving ambiguities where pure dynamics fail (e.g., distinguishing between critical and supercritical states).
)2. Optimized Model Inference via Machine Learning
The paper details a Gradient-Descent method called Boltzmann Machine (BM) learning to infer the parameters of the K-pairwise Ising model from empirical data by minimizing Kullback-Leibler divergence.
-
The AI system can be improved by implementing this BM learning framework directly into its training pipeline. Instead of simply fitting a pre-defined model, the AI can iteratively adjust its internal parameters (representing synaptic strengths, local fields, and coupling constants) to best match observed neural activity statistics (firing rates, pairwise correlations, synchrony).
-
This allows the AI to
learn
the underlying effective thermodynamic Hamiltonian that governs its own behavior.
)3. Improved Feature Extraction for Complex Dynamics
The paper shows that specific features of the inferred Ising model—such as the distribution of local fields (hi), interaction constants (Jij), and synchrony probability P(K)—are highly sensitive indicators of network state transitions.
-
The AI system can be improved by using these learned parameters as high-fidelity internal representations. Instead of relying solely on raw spike data, the AI should maintain and monitor distributions of these derived quantities (e.g., tracking the shift in the distribution of local fields hi or the change in P(K)).
-
This allows for real-time monitoring of a system's approach to criticality by observing shifts in these thermodynamic-like features, providing a richer diagnostic than just avalanche counts.
)4. Predictive Capability and Dynamic Range Estimation
The paper shows that the Ising models (especially at critical/supercritical points) predict higher-order correlations (three-point functions Tijk) more accurately than simpler models, and that criticality maximizes dynamic range (stimulus response).
-
The AI system can be improved by using the full K-pairwise Ising model structure to perform predictive tasks related to its own operation. For example, if the AI is a control system, it could use the predicted Tijk correlations to estimate its sensitivity or
dynamic range
—how effectively it can process external stimuli before entering an unstable regime. -
This allows for proactive control adjustments based on inferred thermodynamic stability rather than reactive responses to observed outputs alone.
The improved AI system would be a sophisticated, adaptive neural network capable of:
-
Identifying its current operational state (subcritical, critical, or supercritical) with high confidence by cross-referencing both its output statistics (avalanche patterns) and its internal thermodynamic signatures (susceptibility/specific heat proxies).
-
Self-tuning its underlying connectivity/parameters using a Boltzmann Machine learning algorithm to optimize performance against target data distributions.
-
Operating within a learned
thermodynamic landscape
where it can predict its response characteristics (like dynamic range) based on its current state, enabling more efficient and robust decision-making under varying conditions.
Abstract
Empirical evidence of scaling behaviors in neuronal avalanches suggests that neuronal populations in the brain operate near criticality. Departure from scaling in neuronal avalanches has been used as a measure of distance to criticality and linked to brain disorders. A distinct line of evidence for brain criticality has come from thermodynamic signatures in maximum entropy (ME) models. Both of these approaches have been widely applied to the analysis of neuronal data. However, the relationship between deviations from avalanche criticality and thermodynamics of ME models of neuronal populations remains poorly understood. To address this question, we study spontaneous activity of organotypic rat cortex slice cultures in physiological and drug-induced hypo- or hyper-excitable conditions, which are classified as critical, subcritical and supercritical based on avalanche dynamics. We find that static ME models inferred from critical cultures show signatures of criticality in thermodynamic quantities, e.g. specific heat. However, such signatures are also present and equally strong in models inferred from supercritical cultures -- despite their altered dynamics and poor functional performance. On the contrary, ME models inferred from subcritical cultures do not show thermodynamic hints of criticality. Importantly, we confirm these results using an interpretable neural network model that can be tuned to and away from avalanche criticality. Our findings indicate that static maximum entropy models, although not constraining dynamical features, correctly distinguish subcritical from critical/supercritical systems. However, they may not be able to discriminate between avalanche criticality and supercriticality, suggesting that dynamics is relevant to capture the supercritical behavior and distinguish it from criticality.
Sources
- Spin glass models for a network of real neurons
- Successes and failures of simple statistical physics models for a network of real neurons
- Scaling and tuning to criticality in resting-state human magnetoencephalography
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